Creating a True Materials Revolution

Thomas Edison famously remarked that if he tried 10,000 experiments that failed, he didn't actually consider it a failure, but found 10,000 things that didn't work. That's true, but it's also incredibly tedious, time consuming and expensive. The new methods, however, have the potential to automate those 10,000 failures, which is creating a revolution in materials science.

For example, at the Joint Center for Energy Storage Research (JCESR), a US government initiative to create the next generation of advanced batteries, the major challenge now is not so much to identify potential battery chemistries, but that the materials to make those chemistries work don't exist yet. Historically, that would have been an insurmountable problem, but not anymore.

"Using high performance computing simulations, materials genomes and other techniques that have been developed over the last decade or so, we can often eliminate as much as 99% of the possibilities that won't work," George Crabtree, Director at JCESR told me. "That means we can focus our efforts on the remaining 1% that may have serious potential, and we can advance much farther, much faster for far less money."

The work is also quickly making an impact on industry. Greg Mulholland, President of Citrine Informatics, a firm that applies machine learning to materials development, told me, "We've seen a huge broadening of companies and industries that are contacting us and a new sense of urgency. For companies that historically invested in materials research, they want everything yesterday. For others that haven't, they are racing to get up to speed."

Jim Warren, a Director at the Materials Genome Initiative, thinks that is just the start. "When you can discover new materials for hundreds of thousands or millions dollars rather than tens or hundreds of millions you are going to see a vast expansion of use cases and industries that benefit," he told me.

As we have learned from the digital revolution, any time you get a 10x improvement in efficiency, you end up with a transformative commercial impact. Just about everybody I've talked to working in materials thinks that pace of advancement is easily achievable over the next decade. Welcome to the materials revolution.

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